Rare diseases, affecting a small percentage of the population, pose significant medical challenges. Defined differently across regions, these illnesses typically have low incidence rates. For instance, the European Union categorises diseases affecting fewer than 1 in 2,000 individuals as rare, while the United States uses an annual benchmark of fewer than 200,000 individuals. Globally, over 7,000 rare diseases have been identified, collectively impacting more than 400 million people worldwide. Yet, due to diagnostic complexities, the actual number may be much higher.
Patients with rare diseases often face hurdles such as delayed diagnosis, lack of effective treatments, and high medication costs. Only about 5% of these diseases have established treatments, and even then, affordability remains a concern. This is where artificial intelligence (AI) emerges as a transformative force, reshaping the landscape of rare disease diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment.
AI in Rare Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
AI applications in healthcare have seen remarkable growth, particularly in areas requiring large-scale data analysis. In the realm of rare diseases, AI has been predominantly utilised for diagnosis, aiding in the early identification of complex conditions. However, a significant shift is now focusing on treatment—a domain still in its nascent stages for AI implementation.
AI-driven drug discovery offers a promising pathway to address the unmet needs of rare disease patients. Traditional drug development is costly and time-intensive, averaging 10 to 15 years and over $2 billion per drug, with a high failure rate of around 90%. AI has the potential to significantly reduce these costs and timelines, as well as increase success rates.
Pioneering AI-Driven Drug Development
Startups like Insilico Medicine and major firms like Alphabet’s Isomorphic Labs are leading the AI-driven drug discovery revolution. Insilico Medicine, for example, has developed a novel molecule targeting idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a rare lung disease with no known cure. Using generative AI, the company designed the molecule by identifying a protein, TNIK, as a potential target—something traditional methods had not explored. This process took only 18 months and involved synthesising and testing 79 molecules compared to the usual four years and 500 molecules.
Such advancements underscore AI’s capacity to accelerate drug discovery, reducing costs and enhancing efficiency. Insilico currently has six molecules in clinical trials, with more in the pipeline, all discovered using generative AI. This demonstrates the growing feasibility of AI-driven approaches in rare disease treatment.
The Role of Data in AI Success
One of the biggest challenges in AI drug development is the lack of comprehensive data. Rare diseases, by definition, affect small patient populations, leading to limited datasets for training AI models. To address this, companies like Recursion Pharmaceutical are generating vast amounts of data through automated experiments. By leveraging this data, Recursion has successfully developed molecules now undergoing clinical trials for cancer treatment.
Despite these successes, experts agree that the ultimate milestone for AI in drug discovery will be demonstrating consistent success in clinical trials. Chris Gibson, CEO of Recursion Pharmaceuticals, notes that proving AI-discovered drugs’ efficacy over traditional methods will be the turning point for the industry.
A New Era in Rare Disease Treatment
The integration of AI in rare disease treatment marks the beginning of a new era in medicine. By combining the computational power of AI with human expertise, the pharmaceutical industry is poised to tackle previously insurmountable challenges. While there is still work to be done, particularly in addressing data biases and refining AI algorithms, the progress made so far offers hope to millions of patients worldwide.
As AI-discovered drugs continue to advance through clinical trials, the potential for this technology to revolutionise the treatment of rare diseases becomes increasingly apparent. With reduced timelines, lower costs, and enhanced precision, AI stands as a beacon of hope for patients and researchers alike, paving the way for a future where no disease remains untreatable.